The burgeoning field of apocalyptic literature has much to learn from the non-fiction field of WAGTD, which is my term We’re All Going To Die. Because when it comes to the end of the world, well, it’s the only logical conclusion. #WAGTD. Tweet all about it!
The current issue of E—The Environmental Magazine has a review of the book I just finished, World on the Edge: How to Prevent Environmental and Economic Collapse, by the president of the DC-based Earth Policy Institute, Lester Brown, age 78. The guy has 26 honorary degrees, so when he speaks, intellectuals listen.
The book’s second half spells out Plan B to rescue the Earth (Plan A is WAGTD), and he totals up the cost to exactly $185 billion per year. This total splits almost evenly between social programs, like adult literacy, and environmental restoration. He makes a sound argument that both have to happen simultaneously. And the cost sounds reasonable when compared to the U.S. military budget of $661 billion per year and the world’s military budget of $1,522 billion per year. We can afford this.
Those numbers make sense, but the book is oversaturated with statistics. Some jump out, such as a proposed pricing of gasoline at $15 per gallon, but many other numbers related to crops and irrigation flew over my head. I do catch his drift about food security creating conflict. With a hotter planet and shifting climate patterns, many countries will be left without the means to feed themselves, and they will not sit still.
While many doomsday scenarios focus on water, Brown’s version targets soil as our most precious and threatened resource. How can we save the soil? Climate change is expanding deserts, so reversing that trend would be his primary defense. His main solution is switching to electricity for most needs, such as transportation, and deriving electricity from wind and other sustainable sources. In his Plan B, nuclear and coal are dead, and wind replaces oil as a primary source.
This book offers very levelheaded doomsday advice. He makes it sound as if these transitions will happen, sooner or later, just as the Berlin Wall was destined to fall. His polemic puts the burden on national governments and international agencies to enact Plan B, and he calls for a mobilization to equal the efforts of World War II. Does this guy actually live in present-day Washington, DC? He thinks our current leaders will propose to spend money and work together to help save the lives of people living overseas? Maybe they will, once they realize they are saving their own hides.
Brown has two more books coming out within the year, an autobiography and one titled Full Planet, Empty Plates: The New Geopolitics of Food. Clearly obsessed with agriculture, Brown didn’t quite clue me in to one of this century’s biggest problems: how are we going to feed 10 billion people? Actually he did: Plan B sees population peaking at 8 billion within 30 years, and that’s not too much more than the current 7 billion, right?
Today 1 billion people are malnourished. Tomorrow another 219,000 mouths will be asking to be fed. You do the math. These numbers have got me on the edge.